UFC Fight Night 106 ML Best Bets

Rony Jason (+100)
This could be a close fight, but I’m leaning towards the Brazilian, as I truly believe he has the experience edge, and is the more active pursuer of the finish. Jeremy Kennedy, is a fighter that relies too much on wearing guys down and breaking them, and I honestly don’t see Jason giving this up in his home country of Brazil. I think Jason can win by submission, or just do enough to earn himself a decision victory.

Joe Soto (+185)
Contrary to popular opinion, I really like Joe Soto in this fight, as I believe he can hang in there with Yahya’s grappling, and on the feet he should be able to get the better of the exchanges. Not to mention, Soto usually turns it up from round 2 onwards, which is when Yahya starts to gas. I like Soto to get a 29-28 type of decision, if not a late stoppage.

Edson Barboza (-145)
This will likely be a striking battle, and in that case, I’m leaning with Edson Barboza at his current price of -145. The Brazilian has developed a really good in-and-out style, which could prove too much for Dariush. I like Barboza to get his hand raised, via unanimous decision, or maybe a flash TKO.

Gian Villante (+135)
I think Villante has a legitimate chance of beating Shogun Rua, who seems to be on the tale end of his career. Villante trains at a good camp with strong teammates, and has enough power to put anybody away. The only issue with him is his cardio, as we all know, but his durability and toughness often allow him to fight through it. I think Villante beats Rua via TKO.