SuparTipstar’s UFC 231 Best Bet

 
SuparTipstar’s UFC Best Bet record to date is 11-28, +13.6u for an ROI of 30.84%.

 
The focus of my best bet tonight is the light heavyweight fight between Jimi Manuwa and Thiago Santos.

 
There is not a lot to say about this fight. These are both bangers, it should be entertaining and a stoppage is highly likely. My view on this fight is that given it’s similarity to a heavyweight KO Contest, favouring either guy strongly is not a smart approach.

 
I believe the key to this fight will be who can their consistent, impactful offence going first, and force the other into a bad position to find a finish. Manuwa’s jab vs Santos kicks.

 
Manuwa is no spring chicken but I would argue he has faced the greater competition, and I can pull myself away from Santos’ loss to Branch, which was basically a carbon copy of Manuwa’s primary win condition.

 
Expecting the finish might be square but I think these are both guys who can give it a lot better than they take it. I believe I have found solid value in a couple of Manuwa related props.

 
My best bet(s) for UFC 231 is Jimi Manuwa ITD @ 3.5, +250 (SkyBet) and Jimi Manuwa in Round 1 @ 6.0, +500 (SkyBet). These are both 1u bets, for a total of 2u.