UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz takes place on November 2, 2019 at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York.
Here are my picks:
Johnny Walker wins in round 1 (+200) x1
Corey Anderson vs. Johnny Walker – Preliminary card (ESPN2)
I think Walker wins this fight inside the distance more times than not but I don’t see value in the current offering price of -125, as it is too close to what the money line price on him currently is. Instead, I will be taking Walker to win this fight via first-round finish, as I believe that is the most likely outcome of this Light Heavyweight contest.
Gregor Gillespie wins in round 3 (+1400) x0.5
Kevin Lee vs. Gregor Gillespie – Main card (PPV)
I see value in this prop, as I think there’s a good chance that Gillespie stops Lee late in this lightweight contest. “The Motown Phenom” is strong in the earlier rounds, but he has a history of gassing and getting finished due to fatigue. Gillespie will be the better-conditioned fighter in the third and final round of this matchup, where I think he can potentially capitalize on a fading Lee and score a finish.
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